--- title: "Tsaro da rikici · Kwaikwayo · Hasashen Kwaikwayo" url: https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/defence-conflict description: "Wasannin yaƙi, samfuran faɗa, masu horon soja da fiziks na makamai: asalin hanyoyi da yawa a wannan rarrabuwa." license: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ credit: "Ross Allan Dahl, Hasashen Kwaikwayo (simulation-hypothesis.com)" --- [Kwaikwayo](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations)fanni 16 na 18 # Tsaro da rikici Wasannin yaƙi, samfuran faɗa, masu horon soja da fiziks na makamai: asalin hanyoyi da yawa a wannan rarrabuwa. Sojoji suna cikin farkon da manyan masu amfani da kwaikwayo, kuma yawancin kayan aikin da ke nan sun fara da su. An ƙirƙiri Monte Carlo don fiziks na makamai, binciken ayyuka (operations research) don sufuri da jigilar kaya na lokacin yaƙi, da na’urorin kwaikwayon jirgi don horon matuƙa. Wasannin yaƙi sun fi haka tsufa. Jami’ai sun yi horo da wasannin tebur tun farkon ƙarni na sha tara. Ma’aikatun tsaro, jami’o’i da cibiyoyin bincike yanzu suna amfani da hanyoyi iri ɗaya don nazarin dabaru, tashin rikici da asarar rayuwa ta yaƙi. ## Wasannin yaƙi da nazari ### Wasannin yaƙi na ƙwararru Jami’ai da masu bincike suna taka ɓangarori masu hamayya na al’amari, motsi-motsi, tare da alƙalai suna yanke sakamako. Ana amfani da su don gwada tsare-tsare, ba don hasashen sakamako ba. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Ina shirin ke rushewa lokacin da abokin hamayya mai tunani ya mayar da martani? Yana barin: Hukuncin ƙwararren alƙali yana maye gurbin fiziks da ta ɓace, ga fa’ida ko illar inganci. Yana gudana a: babu kwamfuta. alƙalai, taswirori da mutane; kwamfutoci suna taimakawa wajen ba da maki ne kawai Tun: 1812 Kriegsspiel, daga teburin wasan yaƙi na Reisswitz babba (1811–12); ƙa’idodin ɗansa na 1824 sojojin Prussia sun karɓe su [tushe](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kriegsspiel) A bishiyar kwaikwayo: [Kriegsspiel](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/trees/simulations?n=soc-kriegs) [Ƙa’idodi da yanayi](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-rules)ƙasan abu: Ƙa’idodi ### Wasannin rikicin siyasa da soja Ƙungiyoyi suna taka rawar gwamnatoci ta cikin rikicin ƙasa da ƙasa mai ƙaruwa, jami’o’i da cibiyoyin bincike da ma ma’aikatu ke gudanarwa. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Yaya rikice-rikice ke ƙaruwa, kuma me ke bai wa shugabanni damar komawa baya? Yana barin: ’Yan wasa yawanci suna yin ɗabi’a cikin hankali fiye da ainihin shugabanni a ƙarƙashin ainihin matsin lamba. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^9 FLOPS kimanta kawai mutane suna taka gwamnatoci; kaɗan ko babu lissafi Tun: 1958 Zuwa 1958, wasannin siyasa-da-soja na farko da cibiyoyin binciken tsaro suke gudanarwa [Ƙa’idodi da yanayi](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-rules)[Ka’idar wasa](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-game-theory)ƙasan abu: Ƙa’idodi ### Wasannin yaƙi na tarihi Tsoffin yaƙe-yaƙe da kamfen da ake sake yi a ƙarƙashin yanayinsu na asali, masana tarihi da kwalejojin soja ke amfani da su. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Shin sakamakon abu ne mai yiwuwa, ko kuwa da sauƙi zai iya tafiya ta wata hanya dabam? Yana barin: Sake yin yaƙi a ƙarƙashin sanannun yanayi har yanzu ba zai iya gwada shawarwari sababbi da gaske ba. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^11 FLOPS kimanta kawai kwamfutar tebur ta mai sha’awa ko ɗan ilimi, daƙiƙu zuwa mintuna a kowane gudu Tun: 1913 H. G. Wells ya wallafa Little Wars, ƙa’idojin sake yaƙin fagen daga da sojojin wasa [Ƙa’idodi da yanayi](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-rules)[Monte Carlo](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-monte-carlo)ƙasan abu: Jikuna ### Samfuran faɗa da yaƙi Rundunoni suna rage ƙarfin juna a kan lokaci, daga lissafin attrition na Lanchester zuwa manyan samfuran yaƙi na ƙididdiga. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Yaya daidaiton ƙarfi ke canza hanyar da tsadar yaƙi? Yana barin: Ainihin ingancin yaƙi yana dogara da ƙwarin gwiwa da shugabanci da ma’aunai ba sa ɗauka. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^12 FLOPS kimanta kawai kwamfutar tebur, daƙiƙu a kowane gudun lissafin Tun: 1916 Frederick Lanchester published his combat attrition equations [Lissafin differential](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-equations)[Monte Carlo](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-monte-carlo)ƙasan abu: Jama’a ### Samfuran faɗa na wakilai Raka’o’i ɗaya-ɗaya masu na’urorin ji, umarni da shawarwarinsu, suna mu’amala a kan ƙasar kwaikwayo. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Nawa sadarwa, ƙwarin gwiwa da shawarwarin gida ke canza sakamakon? Yana barin: Ƙa’idodin yanke shawara masu sauƙi ga kowace raka’a da wuya su ɗauki ainihin hukuncin sojoji. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^14 FLOPS kimanta kawai gungun kwamfutoci na bincike, mintuna a kowane gudun yaƙi Tun: 1997 Zuwa 1997, samfuran faɗa na wakilai na farko da aka gina don cibiyoyin binciken soja [Na wakilai](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-agent-based)ƙasan abu: Jikuna ### Sufuri da jigilar kaya na soja Mai, abinci, harsasai, kayan gyara da sufuri suna motsawa ta fagen aiki. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Shin za a iya samar wa rundunar kayan bukata, kuma a ina za su fara ƙarewa? Yana barin: Ana wakiltar gogayya, yanayi da lalacewa na ainihin duniya a ɓangare kawai. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^13 FLOPS kimanta kawai sabar rundunar sufuri da jigilar kaya, mintuna a kowane yanayi Tun: 1955 Zuwa 1955, binciken operations-research na farko na sarƙoƙin kayan soja [Lamari keɓaɓɓe](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-discrete-event)[Motsin tsari](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-system-dynamics)ƙasan abu: Jikuna ### Tsoratarwa don hanawa da tseren makamai Ƙasashe masu hamayya suna ginawa da rage makamai don amsa juna, a matsayin ma’aunin martani ko wasannin da aka maimaita. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Yaushe tseren makamai ke daidaita, kuma yaushe yake ta ƙara tsananta ba iyaka? Yana barin: Yana ɗauka halin ƙasa mai hankali, sauƙaƙa. Ainihin siyasa ta fi rikicewa. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^11 FLOPS kimanta kawai kwamfutar tebur, daƙiƙu don gudanar da lissafin ko wasannin Tun: 1939 Samfurin lissafi na Lewis Fry Richardson na tseren makamai [Ka’idar wasa](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-game-theory)[Lissafin differential](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-equations)ƙasan abu: Jama’a ### Samfuran rikicin basasa Samfuran kimiyyar zamantakewa na yadda ƙorafi, halacci da aikin ‘yan sanda ke mu’amala har su haifar da tashin hankali ko yaƙin basasa. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Me ya sa tashin hankali ke ɓarkewa a wasu wurare ba a wasu ba? Yana barin: Ƙorafi da halaccin shugabanci suna da wuyar aunawa, don haka sakamakon yana canzawa da zato. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^13 FLOPS kimanta kawai gungun kwamfutoci na bincike, mintuna a kowane gudu Tun: 2002 Samfuran wakilai na Joshua Epstein na tashin hankalin farar hula [Na wakilai](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-agent-based)[Monte Carlo](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-monte-carlo)ƙasan abu: Jikuna ### Wakilan wasan yaƙi na samfurin harshe Samfuran harshe suna taka shugabannin ƙasashe a wasan rikici na juyi-juyi, suna zaɓar matakan diflomasiyya da na soja. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Yaya wakilan samfuri ke ƙara ko rage tashin rikici a cikin rikicin kwaikwayo? Yana barin: Zaɓin samfuri yana dogara da umarni kuma ba ya dacewa da ainihin shugabanni. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^13 FLOPS kimanta kawai Kiran samfuri da yawa ga kowane wasa Tun: 2024 Escalation risks from language models in military and diplomatic decision-making (2024) [tushe](https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.03408) [Na wakilai](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-agent-based)[Masu kwaikwayo da aka koya](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-learned)[Ka’idar wasa](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-game-theory)ƙasan abu: Ƙa’idodi ### Kwaikwayon yaƙin garke Ƙananan jirage ko jiragen ruwa marasa matuƙa da yawa masu ƙa’idoji na kusa suna kai hari ko kariya, kuma kwaikwayon yana gwada yadda garke zai kasance a kan manufar da aka kare. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Shin garke zai iya mamaye abin da aka nufa mai kariya? Yana barin: An sauƙaƙa sadarwa, katse sigina da ƙa’idojin faɗa. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^9 FLOPS kimanta kawai dubban wakilai a kwamfutar aiki. Tun: 2002 Lin and colleagues, simulation of a swarm of unmanned combat air vehicles. [tushe](https://doi.org/10.21236/ada403633) [Na wakilai](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-agent-based)[Ƙwayoyi da N-body](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-particles)ƙasan abu: Jama’a ### Annobar ƙwayar cutar kwamfuta da malware Kwamfutoci ɗigo ne da suke harba maƙwabtansu da shiri, tare da maganin antivirus, don yaɗuwar ta bi samfuran annoba. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Yaya sauri malware ke yaɗuwa, kuma wane adadin gyara ke tsayar da shi? Yana barin: Daidaitawar maharin da ainihin siffofin hanyar sadarwa an sauƙaƙa su. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^5 FLOPS kimanta kawai lissafin annoba ko kwaikwayon hanyar sadarwa a kwamfutar tafi-da-gidanka. Tun: 1991 Kephart and White, directed-graph epidemiological models of computer viruses. [tushe](https://doi.org/10.1109/risp.1991.130801) [Samfuran raga](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-network)[Lissafin differential](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-equations)ƙasan abu: Jama’a ### Tsara tafiyar bincike da ceto Ana kwaikwayon dubban hanyoyin shawagi na abin da ya ɓace ko mutum da ruwa da iska don gano inda za a bincika. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Ina wuri mafi yiwuwa don a fara nema? Yana barin: Kwararar ruwa da iska ba tabbatattu ba ne kuma abin zai iya yin hali dabam da samfurin. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^8 FLOPS kimanta kawai Monte Carlo drift na ɓarbashi da yawa a kan kwamfutar aiki. Tun: 1980 Richardson and Discenza, the Coast Guard computer-assisted search planning system. [tushe](https://doi.org/10.1002/nav.3800270413) [Monte Carlo](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-monte-carlo)[Ƙwayoyi da N-body](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-particles)ƙasan abu: Filaye ### Samfuran musayar harbin makamai na ruwa Ana yin samfurin harbin makamai masu linzami tsakanin jiragen ruwa da ma’aunai masu sauƙi na ƙarfin kai hari da ƙarfin harbo na kariya, don ganin wane ɓangare zai tsira. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Wane ƙirar rundunar jiragen ruwa ke cin nasara a musayar makamai masu linzami? Yana barin: Yana ɗaukar jiragen ruwa a matsayin raka’a iri ɗaya kuma yana watsi da na’urorin ji da dabaru. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^3 FLOPS kimanta kawai daidaitattun lissafi a kwamfutar tafi-da-gidanka. Tun: 1995 Hughes, a salvo model of warships in missile combat used to evaluate their staying power. [tushe](https://doi.org/10.1002/1520-6750%28199503%2942:2<267::aid-nav3220420209>3.0.co;2-y) [Lissafin differential](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-equations)ƙasan abu: Ƙa’idodi ### Ka’idar neman jirgin ƙarƙashin ruwa Ana lissafa yiwuwar samun jirgin ruwan ƙarƙashin ruwa da aka ɓoye daga hanyoyin masu nema, gudun abin da ake nema da nisan da za a iya gano shi. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Ina da ta yaya ya kamata jiragen ruwa da na sama su nema don gano jirgin ruwan ƙarƙashin ruwa da wuri? Yana barin: Kewayon ganowa yana dogara da yanayin teku da hayaniya da ba a san su da kyau ba, kuma abin da aka nufa zai iya kuɓuta. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^6 FLOPS kimanta kawai daƙiƙu zuwa mintuna a kan laptop. Tun: 1956 Koopman’s theory of search, kinematic bases, in Operations Research. [tushe](https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.4.3.324) [Lissafin differential](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-equations)[Monte Carlo](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-monte-carlo)[Tsarin stochastic](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-stochastic)ƙasan abu: Jama’a ## Horon soja ### Na’urorin kwaikwayon jirgi da manufa na soja Cockpits da aka haɗa ta hanyar sadarwa inda ma’aikata ke tashi manufa tare da abokan gaba na kwamfuta. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Shin ma’aikata za su iya aiki tare a ƙarƙashin matsin lamba a aikin da ya yi tsada ko haɗari da ba za a yi atisaye na gaske ba? Yana barin: Abokan gaba da kwamfuta ta ƙirƙira suna faɗa da hasashe fiye da ainihin abokan hamayya. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^13 FLOPS kimanta kawai kwamfutocin na’urar kwaikwayo da aka haɗa ta hanyar sadarwa, lokaci na gaske Tun: 1985 Zuwa 1985, SIMNET, shirin DARPA da ya haɗa na’urorin kwaikwayon yaƙi ta hanyar sadarwa [Ainihin lokaci](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-real-time)[Na wakilai](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-agent-based)ƙasan abu: Jikuna ### Masu horon abin hawa da ma’aikata Kwafin hasumiyoyin tankuna (turrets), ɗakunan aikin jirgin ruwa, ɗakunan sarrafa jirgin ruwan ƙarƙashin teku da ɗakunan helikofta. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Shin kowane memban ma’aikata ya san aikinsa idan kasawa ta faru? Yana barin: Samfuran da aka kulle ba za su iya maimaita ainihin motsin abin hawa da matsi gaba ɗaya ba. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^12 FLOPS kimanta kawai kwamfutar mai kwaikwayon kanta, lokaci na gaske Tun: 1954 Zuwa 1954, na’urorin horon bindiga na farko ga ma’aikatan motocin sulke [Ainihin lokaci](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-real-time)ƙasan abu: Jikuna ### Atisayen horo da aka haɗa ta hanyar sadarwa Ainihin raka’o’i, na’urorin kwaikwayo masu ma’aikata da ƙarfin da kwamfuta ta samar da aka haɗa cikin atisaye ɗaya da aka raba a wurare da yawa. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Shin manyan rukunai za su iya daidaitawa tsakanin rundunonin soja da ƙasashe? Yana barin: Jinkirin hanyar sadarwa da sauƙaƙawa na nufin ba kowane raka’a ke ɗabi’a kamar yadda zai yi kai tsaye ba. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^14 FLOPS kimanta kawai na’urorin kwaikwayo da kwamfutoci da yawa da aka haɗa, lokaci na gaske Tun: 1983 SIMNET, wani shirin tsaro na shekarun 1980 wanda ya fara haɗa na’urorin kwaikwayo ta hanyar sadarwa don atisayen haɗin gwiwa [Ainihin lokaci](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-real-time)[Na wakilai](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-agent-based)ƙasan abu: Jikuna ### Masu horo na harbi da amfani da ƙarfi Fagagen allo da laser masu yanayi masu rassa, sojoji da ’yan sanda ke amfani da su, har da atisayen rage tashin hankali. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Shin mai horo yana yanke shawarar da ta dace, har da zaɓin kada ya harba? Yana barin: Ƴan wasan kwaikwayo a allo suna mayar da martani ta rubutu, ba da rashin tabbacin mutum na gaske ba. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^12 FLOPS kimanta kawai kwamfutar tebur mai watsawa da firikwensin, a lokacin gaske Tun: 1985 Zuwa 1985, na’urorin horo na farko masu yanayi masu rassa don shawarar ’yan sanda da sojoji [Ainihin lokaci](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-real-time)[Ƙa’idodi da yanayi](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-rules)ƙasan abu: Jikuna ### Fagen horon yanar gizo Dukan hanyoyin sadarwar kwamfuta na kwaikwayo inda masu tsaro ke atisayen gano da dakatar da hari. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Shin ƙungiya za ta iya gano da shawo kan kutsawa cikin lokaci? Yana barin: Hare-haren da aka rubuta a fage ba su da tsanani kamar na ainihin maƙiyi mai ƙuduri. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^13 FLOPS kimanta kawai gungun injunan kama-da-wane, a lokacin gaske Tun: 2009 Zuwa 2009, filayen atisaye na farko don gwada harin yanar gizo da tsaro [Lamari keɓaɓɓe](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-discrete-event)[Ƙa’idodi da yanayi](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-rules)ƙasan abu: Ƙa’idodi ### Masu horon likitan yaƙi Mannequins da ke zubar jini, numfashi kuma suna amsa taimakon farko na fagen yaƙi, don atisayen kulawar rauni ƙarƙashin wutar kwaikwayo. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Shin likita zai iya dakatar da zubar jini ya kiyaye wanda ya ji rauni da rai a ƙarƙashin matsin lamba? Yana barin: Ainihin tsoro da gajiya a yaƙi suna da wuyar maimaitawa a atisayen horo. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^10 FLOPS kimanta kawai mai sarrafawa da aka saka a cikin ɗan tsana, a lokacin gaske Tun: 1997 Zuwa 1997, ƴan tsanan rauni masu kama da na gaske ƙwarai na farko don horon likitan yaƙi [Analog na jiki](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-analogue)[Lissafin differential](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-equations)ƙasan abu: Jikuna ### Muhallin atisaye na tsaron yanar gizo mai cin gashin kansa Hanyar sadarwa da aka kwaikwaya inda wakilan hari da tsaro masu koyo suke aiki ana ba su maki. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Shin wakilai za su iya koyon kare hanyar sadarwa daga maharin? Yana barin: Tsarin hanyar sadarwa da hare-hare sun fi na gaske sauƙi sosai. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^11 FLOPS kimanta kawai Horo na zagaye da yawa ba tare da lissafi mai yawa ba Tun: 2021 CybORG: a gym for the development of autonomous cyber agents (2021) [tushe](https://arxiv.org/abs/2108.09118) [Na wakilai](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-agent-based)[Ka’idar wasa](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-game-theory)ƙasan abu: Ƙa’idodi ## Fiziks na makamai da kariya ### Kwaikwayon ajiyar makaman nukiliya Tun hana gwajin nukiliya, ana kimanta tsoffin makamai ta hanyar kwaikwayon fiziks ɗinsu maimakon gwada su. Wannan aiki ya gina wasu daga cikin manyan kwamfutocin duniya. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Ajiyar makamai har yanzu yana da aminci kuma abin dogaro ba tare da gwajin fashewa ba? Yana barin: Kwaikwayon kayayyaki masu tsufa ba tare da ainihin gwaje-gwaje ba har yanzu yana barin wasu fiziks marasa tabbaci. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^18 FLOPS na littafi ɗaya daga cikin manyan kwamfutoci na duniya, babban kaso, na makonni Tun: 1995 Shirin Kula da Makaman Amurka ya fara bayan dakatar da gwaji [Filayen ci gaba](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-continuum)[Monte Carlo](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-monte-carlo)ƙasan abu: Filaye ### Ballistics Harsasai ta cikin ganga, iska da manufa, a matsayin matsaloli uku daban. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Ina makamin zai sauka, kuma me zai faru idan ya sauka? Yana barin: Iska da bambancin ƙera har yanzu suna sa harbi ɗaya-ɗaya ya fi wuyar hasashe fiye da matsakaici. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^12 FLOPS kimanta kawai kwamfutar tebur, daƙiƙu a kowane harbi da aka kwaikwaya Tun: 1945 ENIAC, ɗaya daga cikin kwamfutocin lantarki na farko, wanda aikinsa na farko ya lissafa teburan harbin makamai [Lissafin differential](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-equations)[Filayen ci gaba](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-continuum)ƙasan abu: Jikuna ### Kariya daga fashewa da karo Raƙuman girgiza da tasiri suna bugun gine-gine, ababen hawa da rigunan kariya, ana amfani da su don ƙirar kariya. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Shin tsarin, da mutanen da ke cikinsa, za su tsira? Yana barin: Cikakkun bayanan karyewa da rarrabuwa har yanzu suna da wuyar kamawa daidai. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^15 FLOPS kimanta kawai gungun kwamfutoci na jami’a ko dakin gwajin tsaro, awanni a kowane lamari Tun: 1961 Zuwa 1961, hydrocodes na farko a dakunan gwajin ƙasa suna yin samfurin taguwar fashewa [Filayen ci gaba](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-continuum)ƙasan abu: Filaye ### Aikin radar da na’urorin ji Siginar radar, sonar da infrared da ke tafiya a muhalli kuma suna billa daga abubuwan da aka nufa. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Me na’urar ji za ta iya ganowa, a wane nisa, a wannan yanayi? Yana barin: Ainihin yanayi da cunkoson ƙasa sun fi wuyar ɗauka gabaɗaya fiye da yadda samfurin ya ɗauka. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^14 FLOPS kimanta kawai gungun kwamfutoci na dan kwangilar tsaro, mintuna a kowane yanayi Tun: 1963 Zuwa 1963, samfuran kwamfuta na farko na yaɗuwar radar da hayaniya [Filayen ci gaba](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-continuum)[Monte Carlo](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-monte-carlo)ƙasan abu: Filaye ### Kwaikwayon makaman directed energy Hasken laser ko microwave mai ƙarfi da yake tafiya a iska yana ɗumama ko lalata abin da aka nufa. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Nawa ƙarfi ke isa ga manufa, kuma har yaushe kafin ya yi tasiri? Yana barin: Hargitsi da ƙura na ainihin yanayi suna watsa hasken ba tare da tabbaci ba fiye da yadda samfurin ya ɗauka. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^14 FLOPS kimanta kawai gungun kwamfutoci na dakin gwajin tsaro, awanni a kowane yanayi Tun: 1974 Zuwa 1974, samfuran yaɗuwar hasken makaman laser mai ƙarfi na farko [Filayen ci gaba](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-continuum)[Lissafin differential](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-equations)ƙasan abu: Filaye ### Kwaikwayon torpedo da makaman ƙarƙashin ruwa Hanyar torpedo ko nakiyar sojan ruwa, jagoranci da fashewa ta ruwa, da sautin da take yi. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Shin zai gano, kai ga kuma kashe abin da ake nufa? Yana barin: Ainihin hayaniyar teku da yanayin zafin ruwa masu layi suna ruɗar jagoranci fiye da yadda tsabtataccen samfurin ya ɗauka. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^14 FLOPS kimanta kawai gungun kwamfutoci na binciken sojan ruwa, awanni a kowane yanayi Tun: 1960 Zuwa 1960, samfuran jagorar torpedo na dijital da hydrodynamics na farko [Filayen ci gaba](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-continuum)[Lissafin differential](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-equations)ƙasan abu: Filaye ### Hayaƙin haɗari na chemical, biological da radiological Sakin wani abu mai haɗari iska da hargitsi ke ɗaukarsa a samfurin hayaƙi don hasashen yankin da abin ya shafa da adadin da aka sha. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Wane ne aka fallasa bayan saki kuma ina ya kamata su gudu? Yana barin: Ƙasar birni da yanayin iska mara tabbas suna iyakance daidaito. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^9 FLOPS kimanta kawai samfuran puff suna gudana cikin daƙiƙu zuwa mintuna a kan kwamfutar aiki. Tun: 1996 Sykes da abokan aiki, SCIPUFF, samfurin yaɗuwa na gama-gari. [tushe](https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-5841-5%5F45) [Ƙwayoyi da N-body](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-particles)[Filayen ci gaba](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-continuum)[Tsarin stochastic](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-stochastic)ƙasan abu: Filaye ## Sakamakon yaƙi ### Tasirin yanayi na yaƙin nukiliya Samfuran yanayi da aka ba hayaƙin biranen da suke ƙonewa, don bin sanyin da kasawar amfanin gona da za su biyo baya. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Mutane nawa yaƙin nukiliya zai cutar nesa da inda aka yi shi? Yana barin: Har yanzu ana jayayya kan nawa hayaƙi ke isa stratosphere a gaske. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^16 FLOPS kimanta kawai supercomputer na ƙasa na samfurin yanayi, kaso daga cikinsa na makonni Tun: 1983 binciken TTAPS ya yi samfurin hayaƙin biranen da ke ƙonewa yana sanyaya yanayi [Filayen ci gaba](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-continuum)ƙasan abu: Filaye ### Ƙaura da kwararar ’yan gudun hijira Mutane suna gudu daga rikici, suna zaɓar hanyoyi da wuraren zuwa, hukumomin agaji suna amfani da shi don tsara taimako. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Ina mutane za su tafi, kuma ina ya kamata taimako ya jira? Yana barin: Ainihin shawarwarin mutane na inda za su gudu sun fi wuyar hasashe fiye da yadda samfurin ya ɗauka. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^13 FLOPS kimanta kawai sabar hukumar agaji, mintuna a kowane yanayi Tun: 2015 Zuwa 2015, samfuran wakilai na farko suna hasashen motsin ’yan gudun hijira na lokacin yaƙi Samfura: [Ɗan Adam](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/entities/human) [Na wakilai](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-agent-based)[Samfuran raga](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-network)ƙasan abu: Jikuna ### Martanin rauni da na agaji Mutanen da suka ji rauni, ƙungiyoyin likitoci, kayan aiki da hanyoyin ƙaura bayan rikici ko bala’i. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Yaya za a iya ceton rayuka mafi yawa da albarkatun da ake da su? Yana barin: Yana ɗauka kayayyaki da sufuri suna zuwa kamar yadda aka tsara, wanda ba kasafai yake faruwa a aikace ba. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^12 FLOPS kimanta kawai kwamfutar tebur ta tsare-tsaren asibiti ko soja, mintuna a kowane yanayi Tun: 1996 Zuwa 1996, kwaikwayon discrete-event na farko na rarraba marasa lafiya da ficewa [Lamari keɓaɓɓe](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-discrete-event)[Na wakilai](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-agent-based)ƙasan abu: Jikuna ### Tsara share nakiyoyi da makaman da ba su fashe ba Ana tsara taswirar wuraren da ake zargin akwai nakiyoyi da jadawalin tsabtace su, ana daidaita tsaro, kuɗi da ƙasar da mutane ke buƙatar su dawo da ita. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Waɗanne filaye ya kamata a share da farko, kuma tsawon lokaci nawa zai ɗauka? Yana barin: Ainihin bayanan inda aka binne nakiyoyi sau da yawa ba su cika ba ko kuskure ne. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^10 FLOPS kimanta kawai kwamfutar tafi-da-gidanka ta ƙungiyar agaji ta kawar da nakiyoyi, mintuna a kowane yanayi Tun: 1994 Zuwa 1994, samfuran tsara na farko na tsabtace nakiyoyi na agaji [Monte Carlo](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-monte-carlo)[Lamari keɓaɓɓe](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-discrete-event)ƙasan abu: Jama’a ### Samfurin tattalin arzikin yaƙi da sake ginawa Tattalin arzikin ƙasa bayan rikici, ana bin diddigin ɓarnar kayayyakin more rayuwa, ma’aikatan da aka rasa da taimako da jarin da ake buƙata don sake ginawa. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Har yaushe murmurewa zai ɗauka, kuma ina ya kamata kuɗin sake gini ya fara zuwa? Yana barin: Ainihin sake gini yana dogara da kwanciyar hankali na siyasa da samfurin tattalin arziki ba zai iya hasashe ba. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^11 FLOPS kimanta kawai kwamfutar tebur ta hukumar ci gaba, mintuna a kowane yanayi Tun: 1993 Zuwa 1993, samfuran tattalin arziki na farko na sake gina bayan rikici [Motsin tsari](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-system-dynamics)[Lissafin differential](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-equations)ƙasan abu: Jama’a ### Samfurin takunkumi da yaƙin tattalin arziki Kasuwanci, kuɗin ƙasa da kayayyakin wata ƙasa da aka yi wa kawanya ko takunkumi, ana bin diddigin yawan matsin tattalin arzikin da ke taruwa da kuma wanda yake cutarwa da gaske. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Nawa wahalar tattalin arziki waɗannan takunkumi za su haifar, kuma har yaushe wanda aka kakaba wa takunkumin zai iya jurewa? Yana barin: Ainihin takunkumi yana zubewa ta fasa-ƙwauri da ƙasashe na uku fiye da yadda tsabtataccen samfurin ya ɗauka. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^11 FLOPS kimanta kawai kwamfutar tebur ta cibiyar bincike, mintuna a kowane yanayi Tun: 1985 Zuwa 1985, samfuran tattalin arziki na farko na takunkumin ciniki da kawanya [Motsin tsari](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-system-dynamics)[Samfuran raga](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-network)ƙasan abu: Jama’a ### Samfuran martanin harin halitta Yadda cuta ke yaɗuwa bayan sakin ganganci, tare da allurar rigakafi, keɓewa da ƙarfin asibiti, don a iya kwatanta tsare-tsaren amsawa. Tambayar da yake amsawa: Allurar rigakafi ta jama’a ko bin diddigi da aka nufa ya fi kyau bayan sakin? Yana barin: Yana ɗauka halayen ƙwayar cuta da jinkirin kafin ganowa. Yana gudana a: kusan 10^7 FLOPS kimanta kawai kwaikwayon annoba a kwamfutar tafi-da-gidanka. Tun: 2002 Kaplan, Craft and Wein, emergency response to a smallpox attack: the case for mass vaccination. [tushe](https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.162282799) [Lissafin differential](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-equations)[Tsarin stochastic](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/methods#m-stochastic)ƙasan abu: Jama’a [◂ Kafin kwamfutoci](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/before-computers)[Fim, kafofin watsa labarai da fasaha ▸](https://simulation-hypothesis.com/ha/simulations/media-art)