Hasashen Kwaikwayo

Matrix · Duniya ta yau da biliyoyin cikakkun hankula da aka lissafa, ana zanawa kawai a inda wani yake kallo.

Duniyar fim ɗin Matrix, da canji guda: hankalin masu barci ma ana ƙididdige shi, ba ainihin kwakwalwa a cikin kwantena ba. Duniya ta yau da ake zana ta daidai a duk inda wani ya duba. Biliyoyin mutane suna rayuwa a ciki ba tare da sanin kwaikwayo ba ne, kuma wasu kaɗan suna zargi. Wahala ta fi abin da muke gani, kuma tana taimakawa wajen tabbatar da daidaito. Dalilan da suka gabata ne ke ƙayyade zaɓi, amma yana jin kamar ’yanci.

Ƙarfin lissafin da ake buƙata kimanta kawai
8.2 × 1031 FLOPS
Kwamfutocinmu za su iya tafiyar da wannan tsakanin 2097 da 2127, idan ƙaruwar ta yi sauri ko jinkiri da kashi ɗaya cikin biyar (2109 a matsakaicin gudu). Ƙirgen lokaci ▸
Fiye da duk kwamfutocin duniya gaba ɗaya, da ninki na kusan 1011.
Girman kwamfutakimanta kawai
10¹¹ × kowace kwamfuta a duniya
Sabobi, kwamfutocin gida, wayoyi da na’urorin wasa an haɗa su tare.
Yiwuwar aiwatarwa
Fiye da duk kayan aikin da ke akwai
Fiye da duk kwamfutocin duniya gaba ɗaya.
Kwamfutocin sararin samaniyana littafi
10-72
Kwamfutar sararin samaniya ɗaya ita ce kowace kilogram a sararin samaniyar da ake iya gani tana lissafi a iyakar Lloyd.
Amfanin wuta, ƙasan Landauerna littafi
240 GW
Mafi ƙarancin da thermodynamics ya yarda don jujjuya bits a zafin ɗaki. Mafi kyawun kayan aiki na gaske yana amfani da ƙarfi fiye da wannan sau kusan Biliyan 5.
Ɗan ƙaramin ɓangare na wutar lantarkin ƙasa, a mafi ƙarancin da thermodynamics ya yarda don goge bits.
A kan kowace kwamfuta a duniyakimanta kawai
shekaru 2,598 a daƙiƙa
Tsawon lokacin da ake ɗauka, a agogo, kafin duk kwamfutocin bil’adama su lissafa daƙiƙa ɗaya na kwaikwayo, ~1021 FLOPS.
shekaru 2,598 na duk lissafin Duniya ga kowace daƙiƙa da aka kwaikwayo.
Duniyar da aka lissafa a zahirizato kawai
0.071637%
1.4 × 10-6% na nauyin ana kallonsa ta masu kallo Biliyan 8.2. Maɓallin kallo yana tantance yawan ragowar da ake lissafa a cikakken ƙasan.

Tambayoyin da wannan yanayi ke yi

  • Idan ba za ka iya bambantawa ba, shin yana da muhimmanci?
  • Shin sanin cewa an kwaikwayo ka yana canja abin da ya wajaba a kanka ga kowa?
  • Shin wahala tana da hujja idan tana sa ruɗin ya tsaya daram?
  • Shin waɗanda ke zargi su gaya wa kowa, ko su bar su?

“An lissafa duniya mai wahala fiye da tamu: FLOPS 8.2 × 10^31. Wahala ba ita ce ke ɗaukar lissafin ba.”

Takardar sakamako

Rahoton misali
SAMAN DA AKA ZANA, HANKULA CIKAKKU
Saiti
GirmaDuniya
Ƙasan abuSaitin zane
FaloHankula na gaske da na rubutu
Rayuwar cikiBiliyan 8.2 · na halittar jiki
An lissafa0.071637%
LokaciMadaidaici, kai tsaye daga 1996
WuriHali na rubutu da ke gano ɗinkin
Lissafin da ake buƙata
8.2 × 1031 FLOPS
Girman kwamfuta10¹¹ × kowace kwamfuta a duniya
Kwamfutocin sararin samaniya10-72
Yiwuwar aiwatarwaFiye da duk kayan aikin da ke akwai
Hukunci, ba aunawa ba
Fahimtar marubuci. Babu ɗayansu da ke canja jimillar lissafi.
WahalaAn ɗaga
’Yancin zaɓiYana jin ’yanci
Mai amfani da fa’idaya karkata gāba da
Mai bin dokaya karkata gāba da
Ɗabi’ar kirkiya karkata gāba da
Mai wanzuwaya karkata gāba da
“An lissafa duniya mai wahala fiye da tamu: FLOPS 8.2 × 10^31. Wahala ba ita ce ke ɗaukar lissafin ba.”
Biyu daga cikin waɗannan kimanta ne kawai, uku kuma zato ne kawai, kuma an yi wa kowanne alama haka. Canja kowane maɓalli ɗaya za ka sami wani sararin samaniya daban.
Lissafin abukimanta kawai
8.2 × 1022 FLOPS
Saman abubuwa kawai ake lissafawa, kuma a inda wani yake kallo kawai. Duk abin da ba a lura da shi ƙima ce da aka adana kawai.
Lissafin hankalikimanta kawai
8.2 × 1031 FLOPS
Sandberg & Bostrom 2008, mataki na 5
Hankula Biliyan 8.2, kowanne an lissafa shi a matsayin samfurin na halittar jiki. Kusa da abu, ƙaramin ɓangare ne na jimillar.
Rayuwar cikizato kawai
Biliyan 8.2
Hankula Biliyan 8.2 na gaske. Halittu 4.5 × 1020 da aka bari a matsayin ado.
Ayyukan da aka yi zuwa yanzukimanta kawai
7.8 × 1040
shekaru 30 a agogo, a 8.2 × 1031 a daƙiƙa.
Tarihin da aka adana kawaikimanta kawai
99.9999998%
An fara lissafi a shekarar 1996. Mutane Biliyan 5.77 suna nan a farko, da ƙwaƙwalwar da aka riga aka sanya.